
What blockchain maxis & critics both get wrong-- crypto revolution is in fact NOT about tech. It's a revolution about how we organize the economy. This is tech agnostic & may or may not involve blockchain. Understanding this will help you make better investments. Hereâs how ?
Many bitcoin OGs missed Ethereum, not realizing the power of smart contracts. Many Ethereum OGs missed Solana, Avalanche, etc, not realizing the power of cheap, fast transactions. Many alt L1 OGsâjust wait for itâ will miss the next big thing, whatever it is.
All these misses have one thing in commonâ a fundamental misunderstanding of what makes crypto revolutionary. The crypto revolution is not abt decentralization, cryptography, or resisting censorship.
Itâs abt a huge shift in how society organizes its economy & distributes economic outputs. The value of any technology feature is only proportional to how much it facilitates this shift.
Market & corporation are two traditional methods of organizing economic activities & distributing values.
The last major breakthrough in âvalue distribution technologyâ happened in the 17th Century when Dutch East India Company invented the 1st âpublicly ownedâ enterprise in history, drastically lowering entry barrier for the mass to get bigger shares of economic pie.
That innovation, among others, triggered increasing diffusion of economic power & more wealth equality. Since then ownership models havenât changed much. Yes distribution of economic outputs is more equal than 500 yrs ago, but progress has stalled.
Even in US, country w/ highest share of equity ownership, only half the population owns stocks. The number has declined since 2008 crisis, esp among younger, lower-income groups.
Meanwhile wealth inequality is at a generational high for multiple reasons & technology progress hasâand will continue toâ exacerbate that in many ways.
How to allow more of humanity to participate in & benefit from increasing economic abundance of the world is one of the most pressing problems of our time. Why is this important to you as an investor?
Because the real reason that crypto caught on like wild fire is b/c it provided solutionsâhowever tentativeâ to that problem. And cryptoâs future growth will continue to depend on how well it helps to solve that problem.
In other words, the magic power of crypto comes from it being an enabler of *Massive Open Distribution of Economic Values*-- i.e. MODEV. Bitcoin was the 1st MODEV project in that it allowed a community of people to claim values out of thin air & openly send/receive those values.
And the censorship resistance / be-your-own-bank meme is brilliant for attracting loyal group of libertarian early adopters.
But if you know that MODEV is the ultimate growth driver, youâd see the bitcoin type of meme has limited mileageâ Libertarians are a social minority (7-10% of US adults).
To reach a wider mass youâd need a different message than tech utopian anarchy.
Much of regulatory headwind to crypto is self-inflicted.
— Tascha (@TaschaLabs) December 17, 2021
Instead of posing as state enemy #1, dominant narrative needs to be crypto as a solution to social inequality, as blockchain enables new economic models w/ more equitable value sharing.
The latter is the real revolution.
And if you understand MODEV, youâd also see that strong holding is not good for projectâs long term growth, as it makes growth benefits disproportionally accrue to OGsâ the opposite of more equal value distribution.
(BTW, like this so far? I write about ideas on investment, macro and human potential. Subscribe to my newsletter for updates ?
Similarly, through the MODEV lens youâd see that smart contracts are inevitable cuz they leverage blockchain to allow more ways of MODEV.
Youâd see that proof of stake overtaking proof of work is a matter of time, as the former allows economic values of blockchain ecosystems to be distributed to all users w/ the mechanism of staking, i.e. enabling more MODEV, aside from any environmental benefits.
Youâd see that projects like Helium, Gala, Render are almost sure bets if executed well, cuz they are essentially MODEV plays in their respective industries.
It'll take national governments many yrs still to implement any sort of basic income.
— Tascha (@TaschaLabs) December 15, 2021
Meanwhile the majority of PoS blockchain citizens are already getting "universal basic capital income" via staking rewards.
Real revolutions happen without fuss. pic.twitter.com/ZGa2AtHDnj
Youâd see that alt L1s were destined to flourish cuz scaling in cost & speed, not decentralization or privacy, is the primary bottleneck right now in enabling more MODEV via blockchain.
Extrapolating forward, youâd see thereâre bound to be more waves of exponential MODEV growth & associated investment opportunities to come from new projects.
This is inevitable if crypto is to achieve its historical mission of massive distribution of values to billions of people and bridging old & new economic paradigms.
For BTC, ETH to continue exponential growth, HODLers need to sell to create gain for new entrants.
— Tascha (@TaschaLabs) December 16, 2021
Since most of them won't, new users rally around alt L1/L2s till they become the "establishment" too...
New adoption waves continue till global mass crypto-ization.#TheGrandPlan
Youâd also see that blockchain is but one of the potential technology vehicles to enable MODEV. Governments & web2 organizations will employ different techs to leverage MODEV business models once they realize its social benefit & economic power.
As an investor evaluating projects, itâs useful to not get carried away by fancy tech claims or clever tokeneconomics.
At the end of day, some of the most important Qs to consider areâ ⢠Does this thing create MODEV in long term? ⢠Does this thing enable better MODEV than competitors? ⢠Are there signs that MODEV is happening in this project/platform/protocol & will continue to happen?
And if you understand MODEV is the driver, youâd see that being a maxi of anything is overrated. The industry moves fast and where hyper growth happens will be changing constantly. You wonât catch every wave but keeping an open mind will allow you to catch more than most others
Like this? Donât forget to ⢠retweet ⢠follow me for more ideas to help you become smarter, richer, freer ? @TaschaLabs Questions? Thoughts? Put in the comments & Iâll address the interesting ones in future articles. Be civil.
Follow us on Twitter
to be informed of the latest developments and updates!
Follow @tivitikothreadYou can easily use to @tivitikothread bot for create more readable thread!